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Northern
Hemisphere Temperature Hits 2,000 Year High
NORWICH,
United Kingdom,
September 2, 2003 (ENS) - The Earth's Northern Hemisphere has
been hotter since 1980 than at any time during the past 2,000
years, according to a comprehensive study of the planet's
surface temperature by an international team of scientists.
Climate
scientists Philip Jones of the University of East Anglia's
Climatic Research Unit in the UK and Michael Mann of the
University of Virginia, published a study in the August issue
of the journal "Geophysical Research Letters,"
showing that late 20th century temperatures for the Northern
Hemisphere are unprecedented for at least "roughly the
past two millennia."
The
sun's rays are heating the planet more since 1980 when this
photograph was taken that at any time in the past 2,000 years.
Conclusions
for the Southern Hemisphere and global mean temperature are
limited by the sparseness of available data in the Southern
Hemisphere at present, the scientists said, but they expressed
confidence in their conclusions for the Northern Hemisphere.
The two
professors reconstructed the global climate back to the time
of the pre-Christian era through a complex series of
investigations.
They
studied ice cores and rings in the trunks of ancient trees
formed before humans kept climate records, and added
historical records from more recent times in the Netherlands,
Switzerland and China to their data.
Mann and
Jones analyzed cores from the icecaps of Antarctica and
Greenland drilled down through the ice and snow of 2,000
years, analyzing the air bubbles contained in these cores for
information about the climate at the time the ice was formed.
They
utilized paleoclimatic data gathered from China, Peru,
Tasmania, and from Chesapeake Bay in the United States to
compile a picture of prehistoric temperatures.
When all
the data sets were compiled, the results supported the
conclusion that human activities are responsible for a warming
of the planet that amounts to at least 0.2 Celsius, or .36
degrees Fahrenheit over the past 20 years.
"You
can't explain this rapid warming of the late 20th century in
any other way," Jones told BBC News Online, "It's a
response to a buildup of greenhouse gases in the
atmosphere."
But some
scientists, such as Dr. Sallie Baliunas at the
Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, believe the
Earth's complex climate system works in ways not yet
understood. "No reliable evidence for a catastrophic
human warming trend can be found in the best temperature data
available," she said.
Professor
Philip Jones of the University of East Anglia's Climatic
Research Unit
Jones
said, "The climate skeptics are flogging a dead
horse."
"You
have to aggregate the records together, as we've done,"
said Jones. "We'd like more records, especially from the
tropics - but we do think we have enough information to say
the world is now warmer than it's been for 2,000 years."
Jones
and Mann's findings underline the most recent report from the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which wrote in
2001, "The increase in surface temperature over the 20th
century for the Northern Hemisphere is likely to have been
greater than that for any century in the last thousand
years."
Their
research also supports a July report from the UK
Meteorological Office's Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction
and Research. Dr. Peter Stott, who leads the team at the
Hadley Centre, said July 28, "The continental warming of
the past few decades cannot be explained by natural factors
such as solar changes, volcanoes or natural variability. But
once we factor in the effects of human activity, we find we
can explain the warming that is observed. "
Mann and
Jones' research was financially supported by the National
Science Foundation and the Earth Systems History program
sponsored by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration, as well as the U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Science.
Copyright Environment News
Service (ENS) 2003. All Rights Reserved.
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